Weekly Macro Minute

Share:
GuideStone Capital Management Weekly Macro Minute

GuideStone® was originally established in 1918 to provide financial support and assistance for retired pastors and widows. Today, we continue to carry out that mission through the ministry of Mission:Dignity®. Here’s an encouraging devotional from one of our recipients:

Icon of a Bible
Icon of a BibleGive Thanks with a Grateful Heart: Part One

Psalm 75:1 (NKJV)

Samuel Parsons authored this issue’s devotional. He served the Lord for 48 years.

My daddy was a country preacher, the pastor of Silver Shoals Baptist Church near Homer, Georgia. We were in the Enon Baptist Association at the time. I enjoyed hearing my daddy preach and sing. His favorite song was:

“I want to thank Him for what he has done,

I must look back to the Crucified One,

On that beautiful shore…

I want to kneel down once more

And to thank Him for what he has done!”

My mother taught me about Jesus in the “Card Class.” Today, I am so thankful not only for my parents, grandparents, and sister, and for our Christian home, but for how and why they lived before me as born-again believers, through hard times and good times. I am so thankful for all of them.

I am more thankful to my heavenly Father through Jesus, his Son, who left a perfect heavenly throne to come to earth and become sinful man’s crucified one on a cruel cross at Calvary, for this little sinful boy, disobedient and rebellious at times, to become my Savior at the age of 10.

I am so thankful for that memory. My heart explodes with so many wonderful memories of people who were a great example of people with faith in Jesus, our Lord. Like my first‑grade teacher, who taught me to love others, a neighbor one mile away, my algebra teacher in high school, a preacher of God’s Word and a Southern Baptist preacher who gave me great encouragement to follow the Lord.

It was he who took a busload of high schoolers to a Billy Graham Crusade in Greenville, South Carolina, in March of 1966, where I made a further decision to follow Jesus, one that would later influence my surrender to preaching the Gospel of Christ and lifelong service in local churches. I am thankful a million times over!

Let everything that has breath praise the Lord! Psalm 150:6 (NKJV)

What has God done for you through the years of your life? Are you thankful for the bad and the good? Will you give God thanks today and every day? As one of my great aunts used to say, “Well, it’s about time!”

What would our homes, churches and nation be if we gave God the praise for all that He has done? (Romans 8:28-30).

Prayer: Father, forgive us of our ingratitude and unthankful hearts. Help us to give praise to You, Heavenly Father, all the days of our lives. In Jesus’ name, Amen.

Want more devotionals? Our 40-day devotional book written by our Mission:Dignity recipients is available to order here.


Across the Markets

Equities extend gains as volatility eases
  • U.S. equity markets finished the week higher as volatility tied to Middle East developments moderated and energy prices moved off earlier highs.
  • The S&P 500® rose 0.6%, marking its fourth consecutive weekly gain.
  • Small-cap stocks edged higher, with the Russell 2000® up approximately 0.4%.
Earnings support market momentum
  • First‑quarter earnings remained an important driver as reporting progressed.
  • With roughly one‑fifth of S&P 500® companies having reported, the share of firms beating expectations remains above historical averages.
  • Blended year‑over‑year earnings growth is tracking near 15%.
Treasury yields drift higher
  • Treasury markets faced modest pressure ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting.
  • The 10‑year Treasury yield ended the week near 4.30%, up slightly from the prior week but below late‑March highs.
  • Shorter‑term yields rose more sharply, contributing to continued curve flattening.
Energy markets remain volatile
  • Oil prices were volatile as geopolitical headlines continued to influence supply expectations.
  • WTI crude ended the week near $95 per barrel, up from the prior week but below early April peaks above $110.
  • Despite the pullback, oil prices remain sharply higher year-to-date amid continued supply and shipping uncertainty.
Middle East disruptions keep markets cautious
  • A fragile ceasefire held, though shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained severely constrained and the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports stayed in place.
  • These disruptions have continued to restrict a meaningful share of global oil supply, keeping markets highly sensitive to diplomatic developments.
European equities pull back
  • European stocks declined as weaker business and consumer confidence weighed on sentiment, particularly in economies exposed to higher energy costs.
  • Central bank communication remained cautious amid elevated geopolitical uncertainty.
Asian markets mixed
  • Japanese equities delivered mixed results as technology strength was offset by pressure from higher energy costs and inflation data.
  • In China, equity markets were relatively stable as policymakers kept lending rates unchanged, reinforcing a wait‑and‑see stance.

In the Economy

Consumer spending remains resilient
  • March retail sales rose 1.7%, the strongest monthly increase in more than three years, driven largely by higher gasoline prices.
  • Excluding gasoline, sales increased a solid 0.6%.
  • The retail control group, which feeds directly into GDP calculations, rose 0.7% and prior months were revised higher, signaling steady underlying demand.
Labor market conditions stable
  • Initial jobless claims remained contained near 200,000, indicating limited layoffs.
  • Continuing claims edged higher to roughly 1.8 million, pointing to slower reemployment but not a sharp deterioration.
Sentiment remains subdued
  • Consumer sentiment declined further in April, remaining near historical lows.
  • Inflation expectations moved higher alongside rising energy prices, highlighting persistent concerns around cost‑of‑living pressures.

Subscribe to the Weekly Macro Minute

This information is prepared by GuideStone Capital Management, LLC®, a controlled affiliate of GuideStone Financial Resources®. This material is provided for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities. Diversification is not a guarantee against loss. This information does not represent any GuideStone® product. Special risks are inherent in international investing, including those related to currency fluctuations and foreign, political and economic events.

The material represented has been obtained from sources we consider reliable, but which we cannot guarantee. It is subject to change without notice and is not intended to influence your investment decisions. This information discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic, market or political conditions and should not be construed as research or investment advice.

All indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Index performance assumes no taxes, transaction costs, fees or expenses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization-weighted equity index composed of approximately 500 U.S. companies representing all major industries. The index is designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of its constituents. “Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P 500®”, “Standard & Poor’s 500” and “500” are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. and have been licensed for use by GuideStone.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe and is a subset of the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 10% of the total market capitalization of that index. It includes approximately 2,000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure that larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the actual small-cap opportunity set. Frank Russell Company ("Russell") is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. "Russell®" is a trademark of Frank Russell Company. Neither Russell nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data and no party may rely on any Russell Indexes and/or Russell ratings and/or underlying data contained in this communication. No further distribution of Russell Data is permitted without Russell's express written consent. Russell does not promote, sponsor or endorse the content of this communication. Index used with permission. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Index is a benchmark in oil pricing, representing the price of oil extracted in the United States, primarily from Texas and surrounding areas. WTI is widely used in the oil futures market for trading and contract settlements. The Index reflects the spot and futures prices for WTI crude oil as traded on the New York Mercantile Exchanges (NYMEX).